I’ve already given you my forecast and betting advice for the primary event at UFC 218 (Aldo vs Holloway). Now the moneylines and props are out for the rest of the card, it is time for a UFC 218 deep dive.
Which underdogs have value? Which struggles should bettors prevent? Can you put a lucrative parlay together from the conflicts on tap? Let’s have a look.
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Golden Underdogs
There’s no big’dog calling out to me at UFC 218. But there is one man on this card who could withstand some steep odds.
Francis Ngannou (-270) vs. Alistair Overeem (+230)
Alistair Overeem may get merked with a larger and more powerful puncher at Francis Ngannou, but at +230, he’s worth throwing a few pennies in the slightest. Normally I’d place this struggle from the stay-away class, but this is a big test for Ngannou, a guy who really hasn’t been analyzed yet.
Overeem is a veteran of the game and, though his chin may be suspect, he has one of the greatest fight IQs from the heavyweight division. Kickboxing capability and his in-cage smarts could give a big upset to us together with a profit. Don’t go mad with this, though. Ngannou deserves to be favored. Overeem is worth a bet.
Felice Herrig (-140) vs. Cortney Casey (+110)
Cortney Casey isn’t a massive dog, but her +105 moneyline would still net you a good yield or promote a parlay. Both fighters have appeared strong, but stylistically, Casey appears to have the strength and size to give Herrig problems. The only woman who has been in a position to fit Casey’s physicality was Claudia Gadelha and woman is among the best in the branch. If Casey can pour on the strain, she could overwhelm Herrig and get a small upset win here. Again, don’t go crazy and throw down your entire bankroll, but Casey is worth a few shekels.

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